[data] Anonymous admission contribution

[YichengYang-Ethan]

Profile

• GPA: 3.92 (poster: 3.9+)
• Test: GMAT sufficient (per post); model uses GRE Q 169 proxy — no GMAT column in v2
• University: US bachelor’s (modeled as University of Michigan for tier — school not named in post)
• Majors: Finance + Economics (modeled)
• International: yes
• Internships: Several IB / quant / asset management in US and China

Prediction Results

• Master of Science in Financial Engineering (New York University): 80% [71%-87%] — safety
• Master of Science in Quantitative and Computational Finance (Georgia Institute of Technology): 70% [35%-91%] — safety
• Master of Science in Mathematics in Finance (New York University): 67% [50%-80%] — target
• Master of Arts in Mathematics of Finance (Columbia University): 66% [50%-78%] — target
• Master of Science in Financial Mathematics (University of Chicago): 63% [50%-74%] — target
• Master of Financial Engineering (Cornell University): 61% [43%-77%] — target
• Master of Science in Computational Finance (Carnegie Mellon University): 60% [50%-69%] — target
• Master of Financial Engineering (University of California, Berkeley): 54% [29%-77%] — target
• Master of Science in Financial Engineering (Columbia University): 51% [42%-61%] — target
• MS in Financial Economics (Columbia University): 44% [13%-80%] — target
• Master of Finance (Massachusetts Institute of Technology): 38% [21%-57%] — reach
• Master in Asset Management (Yale University): 37% [16%-64%] — reach
• Master of Science in Mathematical and Computational Finance (Stanford University): 31% [18%-48%] — reach
• Master in Finance (Princeton University): 26% [10%-53%] — reach
• Master of Financial Engineering (Baruch College, City University of New York): 20% [6%-51%] — reach

Command: quantpath predict --profile profiles/data_contrib_26fall_mfin_mix.yaml (GPBoost v2 — retrained 2026-04-02). 15 programs — 5 reach / 8 target / 2 safety.

Actual Outcomes

Accepted

• Oxford MFE: accepted (not in focused US Tier0+1 list)
• HKUST–Yale M2M: HKUST offer; Yale leg pending at time of post

Rejected

• Master of Finance (MIT): rejected (no interview)
• Columbia MSAFA: rejected (not in focused 15)
• Master in Asset Management (Yale SOM): pending post-interview at time of post (same program family as yale-am row)
• Yale Silver Scholar: different program — not yale-am

Model accuracy note

MIT reject vs ~41% target on mit-mfin suggests heavy under-threshold or feature gap. Oxford / MSAFA / joint programs outside the 15-row list.

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Data contribution — public post (26fall finance master record). profiles/data_contrib_26fall_mfin_mix.yaml.